Retrofitting the moon & mars for life seems like it would be simpler than a dyson sphere, not to mention not breaking any of those pesky laws of physics.

Unconventional oil, is hard to produce…. by definition. Hibernation.5. Originally Posted by John Galt The figures are complex. They did if you were paying attention. If we took our current fastest spaceship (voyager 1) as a base model.

Which will slow down use of oil, which will extend the reserves. Originally Posted by GoldenRatio I do not see generation ship as a possibility. Difficult, but not necessarily impossible.edit: another possible reason is they truly have evolved beyond the need for war/killing/ect & truly do just want knowledge & greeting in friendship. There is a presumption that faster-than-light travel is a prerequisite for interstellar travel by extra-terrestrial intelligence. Any more gains will be marginal.This reflect most things in general.

Originally Posted by Quantum immortal Currently, most peak oil models predict, that this will happen, around now. (not very precise) Incorrect. That is very limited thinking. If we took our current fastest spaceship (voyager 1) as a base model. It has taken it 36yrs to cover 16 light hours distance. Retrofitting the moon & mars for life seems like it would be simpler than a dyson sphere, not to mention not breaking any of those pesky laws of physics.

Originally Posted by Quantum immortal You need to take in too account in this, that the population is still increasing.So the shortage will be more severe then the absolute numbers imply. I think the hubert model is the most credible.The others, for example the IEA, simply plot the demand until the reserves run out.I didn’t had in mind to debate hubert model of peak oil.Basically, the way the hubert model extrapolates, takes in to account current treands of discoveries and extraction easiness.Yes, it’s not hard science…. If that trend continues we are in good shape. …. and the media didn’t bother to tell us…. ?? I’ve seen dozens of media stories about peak oil. Retrofitting the moon & mars for life seems like it would be simpler than a dyson sphere, not to mention not breaking any of those pesky laws of physics.

Difficult, but not necessarily impossible.edit: another possible reason is they truly have evolved beyond the need for war/killing/ect & truly do just want knowledge & greeting in friendship. If you have , please provide numbers to justify your assertion. There is considerable variation in the predictions, varying from “it has already happened” to “fifty plus years away”. That is a long trip for anyone to sign up for.

If you’ve got sufficient power to ship “excess” population at FTL speeds (or, in fact ANY speed) fast enough to offset birth rates then I’d suppose that you’ve got the power to effect much simpler solutions. peak oil is a model of predicting oil production.It predicts, that oil will reach a peak, and then decline, in a symmetric bell shaped curve.Currently, most peak oil models predict, that this will happen, around now. (not very precise)The interesting part, that i just learned today. If you have , please provide numbers to justify your assertion. Actually, per capita oil production alredy peaked some decades ago. The figures are complex.

Originally Posted by Quantum immortal Unconventional oil is harder to produce, with a slower increase of production. How fast experts are trained. There is a limit how fast industry can do things. Discovery of some form of “warp drive” using as yet unenvisaged physics.4. For instance, if earth reached such a technological level.

Also, I find it hard to believe that FTL could ever get to the point, (if it is possible at all,) where using it to bring enough manpower and machines to Earth in order to harvest her resources would be a net gain in energy produced. Robots are the ET.The resources they may plunder us for could include the equivalent of a field study of “How to Screw up a Biosphere”. Originally Posted by John Galt 1. Is that conventional oil peaked back in 2006.Unconventional oil still saves the day.But this is a clear sigh of the beginning of the end of the oil era!Unconventional oil is harder to produce, with a slower increase of production.Conventional oil will drop of faster then new unconventional oil.So it will not be long before global production of oil peaks alsoYou need to take in too account in this, that the population is still increasing.So the shortage will be more severe then the absolute numbers imply.Actually, per capita oil production alredy peaked some decades ago.This wasn’t apparent, because of the huge economic inequalities of the world….. and the media didn’t bother to tell us….we are toast Originally Posted by Dywyddyr Yep.I must admit that particular attitude rather stumps me.What could aliens get from here that would surely be found much closer to home?If you’ve got FTL that implies, to me, that you have huge power resources available.And that would lead to all sorts of possibilities – maybe even “manufacturing” raw materials/ elements/ compounds without even moving out of the home system. If we took the speed of coracles as a base model, then travelling to the US for a one day business meeting would be crazy.

Originally Posted by John Galt Incorrect. Seems like a huge undertaking, not to mention resource drain to build one.retro-fitting sister planets would be a more viable solution. Touche good sir. It need not be symmetric.

That is a long trip for anyone to sign up for.Consider where humans were in history 70,000 years ago. Which will make it more expensive. Originally Posted by John Galt It need not be symmetric. ….maybe i was a bit unclear. Originally Posted by Quantum immortal The interesting part, that i just learned today.

Originally Posted by Quantum immortal peak oil is a model of predicting oil production.It predicts, that oil will reach a peak, and then decline, in a symmetric bell shaped curve. I had in mind hubert’s model.It’s the most credible in my opinion.Taking in too account that trying to predict the future always requires some speculation…. It has taken it 36yrs to cover 16 light hours distance. What evidence do you have that production rates of unconventional oil will increase at a slower rate than conventional?On what basis do you declare that unconventional oil will last only a short time?

Have you considered the amount of unconventional oil that is available? It seems not. At these speeds, it would take earthlings approximately 70k years to reach even our closest neighboring star system at 4 light years away. What evidence do you have that production rates of unconventional oil will increase at a slower rate than conventional?On what basis do you declare that unconventional oil will last only a short time? Have you considered the amount of unconventional oil that is available?

It seems not. Originally Posted by John Galt Originally Posted by GoldenRatio I do not see generation ship as a possibility. At these speeds, it would take earthlings approximately 70k years to reach even our closest neighboring star system at 4 light years away. Which will drive people to alternatives. I do not see generation ship as a possibility. hi,anyone out there who is proficient at both? i have never used origin, but have been told that it is much more powerful than excel. the question is, is it so much better that it warrants learning a new tool altogether? thx.

Here are some other possibilities:1. Possibly even fitting some other places like some of jupiter/saturn moons. Though do not see dyson sphere as the best solution. Possibly even fitting some other places like some of jupiter/saturn moons.

That’s a good thing; we can support more people with less oil. Originally Posted by Quantum immortal Unconventional oil is harder to produce, with a slower increase of production.Conventional oil will drop of faster then new unconventional oil.So it will not be long before global production of oil peaks also I challenge these two statements. Their predictions are crap, but we can trust them for the past.http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/…ype=blogs&_r=0 Originally Posted by John Galt I challenge these two statements.

It takes a lot of investments and more time.The factories need to be build, their’s a limit how fast they can be build and how fast people can be trained etc….For example, in Canada, a lot of water is needed on top of more energy to produce oil from the tar sands.I didn’t say it will last a short time, i said that it will prevent the reduction of total oil production for a short time.Conventional oil will start to fall faster while unconventional will accelerate.The acceleration of unconventional will be not enough to cover the fall of the conventional.It’s not just a matter of how much you have, but how fast you can get it out of the ground.It’s not like a straw in a glass of water. argumentive essay ideas
Originally Posted by ??? Do you mean terra-forimng? Terra forming implies making other worlds “earth like” aliens might not want a planet like ours but one like their own.Though if that is the term you wish to use, then yes.A more accurate term however would be “planetary engineering” At these speeds, it would take earthlings approximately 70k years to reach even our closest neighboring star system at 4 light years away. If we took the speed of coracles as a base model, then travelling to the US for a one day business meeting would be crazy.

Generation ships. Generation ships.2. Don’t you think you should also take into account the increasing use of alternative and renewable energy sources, and the increased energy efficiency of everything from light bulbs to airliners? Originally Posted by Quantum immortal …. and the media didn’t bother to tell us….

Build a Dyson Sphere? Agreed, never said it was the most practical reason for ET to visit, just a possible reason. That is a long trip for anyone to sign up for.

Originally Posted by GoldenRatio Originally Posted by Dywyddyr Originally Posted by GoldenRatio They might just need “space” Perhaps their homeworld is facing overcrowding & unable to find suitable planet for living, thus taking ours. If we took our current fastest spaceship (voyager 1) as a base model. Originally Posted by John Galt Don’t you think you should also take into account the increasing use of alternative and renewable energy sources, and the increased energy efficiency of everything from light bulbs to airliners? and people changing there smart phone every year…..from memory, alternative energies account for around 10% in Europe, today.about aeroplanes, they are alredy very efficient.

Is that conventional oil peaked back in 2006. Do you mean terra-forimng? ETs have lifespans order of magnitude longer than ours, so that a century long transit is like Darwin’s Beagle voyage.3. Related Discussions:Excel speed problemExcel graphhow to populate a database.Why are Women generaly smarter than men ?Recommend a PC Configuration for Heavy Excel CalculationsA rather odd questionA question about physics.asp to excel — get dataOrigin of rapakivi granitePlease Recommend a Proper Charting Software Related Discussions:Alternatives to oilOIL PRICES- ARE WE REALLY RUNNING OUT OF SUPPLIES?ABC’s “Catalyst” presents Peak oilOIL CRISIS – SHOULD WE PANIC?Strange behaviour in incense oil burner….? on the oil spill in the GulfNASA points to the 168 mistakes that led to ArmageddonMineral oil in a transformerWhy nobody cares about future oil shortages?Could the Earth be like?????

It has taken it 36yrs to cover 16 light hours distance. Cryogenically frozen organisms that are activated on arrival in the new system and raised by robots.5. Where did you see this specific report? What was it based on? Who made it? I remain skeptical until you can put some flesh on the bones. Where did you see this specific report? What was it based on? Who made it? I remain skeptical until you can put some flesh on the bones. The IEA it self half said it. For instance, if earth reached such a technological level.

There is considerable variation in the predictions, varying from “it has already happened” to “fifty plus years away”.

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